PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .262vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 4%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BT Bryan Torres LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TS Thomas Saggese RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Thomas Saggese
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-02 game page →