PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .262vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 5%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 633 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-27 game page →