PITCHER MATCHUP
Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .258vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 5%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.