PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 23%Sweeper 21%Changeup 12%Curveball 6%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.