PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 23%Sweeper 20%Changeup 11%Curveball 6%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-14 game page →