PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 23%Sweeper 21%Changeup 12%Curveball 6%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .216 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.