PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 23%Sweeper 21%Changeup 11%Curveball 6%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CN Connor Norby RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CC Cole Carrigg SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BS Brett Sullivan LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Sullivan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-09 game page →