PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 23%Sweeper 21%Changeup 12%Curveball 6%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.