PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 23%Sweeper 21%Changeup 12%Curveball 6%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .218 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.