PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 23%Sweeper 21%Changeup 12%Curveball 6%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 SS Spencer Steer RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.