PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sinker 23%Sweeper 20%Changeup 11%Curveball 6%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 574 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .217 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .220 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.