PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 23%Sweeper 21%Changeup 11%Curveball 6%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 691 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .431 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 556 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.