PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sinker 23%Sweeper 20%Changeup 10%Curveball 6%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .433 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .373
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-24 game page →