PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 23%Sweeper 21%Changeup 12%Curveball 6%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.