PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .348vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sinker 23%Sweeper 20%Changeup 11%Curveball 6%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BH Brady House RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.