PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sinker 24%Sweeper 20%Changeup 10%Curveball 5%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW James Wood LHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-12 game page →