PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 23%Sweeper 21%Changeup 12%Curveball 6%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 585 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 640 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.