PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 23%Sweeper 21%Changeup 12%Curveball 6%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 644 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-20 game page →