PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 23%Sweeper 20%Changeup 11%Curveball 6%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 574 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 613 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PR Pedro Ramírez SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.