PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 23%Sweeper 21%Changeup 12%Curveball 6%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.