PITCHER MATCHUP

Will Warren vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Will Warren's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Will Warren's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sinker 23%Sweeper 21%Changeup 9%Curveball 6%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Will Warren, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.