PITCHER MATCHUP

Wilber Dotel vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Wilber Dotel's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Wilber Dotel's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 24%Cutter 21%Changeup 8%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Wilber Dotel, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 610 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Tyrone Taylor RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyrone Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-11 game page →