PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026
Changeup 34%Sinker 34%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Sweeper 14%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-17 game page →