PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026
Changeup 33%Sinker 33%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 14%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-06 game page →