PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .266Seasons 2026
Sinker 34%Changeup 34%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Sweeper 14%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.