PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026
Changeup 33%Sinker 32%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sweeper 15%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-08 game page →