PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026
Sinker 34%Changeup 34%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.