PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026
Sinker 33%Changeup 31%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 16%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .431 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-02 game page →