PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026
Sinker 34%Changeup 34%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CE Colt Emerson LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LR Leo Rivas SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.