PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026
Sinker 34%Changeup 34%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 587 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 640 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.