PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026
Changeup 33%Sinker 32%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sweeper 15%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TW Taylor Ward RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 593 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.