PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026
Changeup 33%Sinker 32%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sweeper 14%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JC Jimmy Crooks LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jimmy Crooks
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.