PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026
Sinker 34%Changeup 34%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.