PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026
Changeup 32%Sinker 32%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sweeper 16%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →