PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026
Changeup 32%Sinker 32%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sweeper 16%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .396
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-27 game page →