PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026
Sinker 34%Changeup 34%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 14%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .387
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.