PITCHER MATCHUP

Walbert Ureña vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walbert Ureña's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walbert Ureña's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026
Changeup 34%Sinker 33%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 14%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walbert Ureña, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .390
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.