PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 19%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 NL Nick Loftin RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Tyler Tolbert RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Tolbert
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-01 game page →