PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 19%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 616 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-25 game page →