PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 19%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HD Henry Davis RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JG Jacob Gonzalez LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Gonzalez
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-13 game page →