PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 20%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 567 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.