PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 20%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-18 game page →