PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 20%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LC Luis Campusano RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.