PITCHER MATCHUP
Tyler Phillips vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Tyler Phillips's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 20%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CB Carson Benge LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 BB Brett Baty LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 JS Juan Soto LHB .370
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .467 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 JY Jared Young LHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.