PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 19%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TW Taylor Ward RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 603 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.