PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .329vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Curveball 19%Splitter 18%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Slider 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .431 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Mitch Garver RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mitch Garver
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →