PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 20%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.