PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .335vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 19%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 AB Alex Bregman RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-06 game page →