PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 20%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.