PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 29%Sweeper 24%Curveball 19%Splitter 18%Four-Seam Fastball 10%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JF José Fermín RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .213 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-28 game page →