PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 19%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.