PITCHER MATCHUP
Tyler Phillips vs St. Louis Cardinals
How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Tyler Phillips's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 20%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%
How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .307
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1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NC Nathan Church LHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JF José Fermín RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.