PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Curveball 19%Splitter 18%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .389
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →