PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .335vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 19%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .384
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .428 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.