PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Phillips vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Phillips's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Phillips's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Sweeper 24%Splitter 20%Curveball 19%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Slider 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Phillips, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.