PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Glasnow vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Glasnow's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Glasnow's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .251Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Slider 22%Sinker 18%Curveball 16%Knuckle Curve 8%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Glasnow, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-30 game page →