PITCHER MATCHUP
Tyler Glasnow vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Glasnow's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Tyler Glasnow's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .290vs RHH xwOBA .252Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 21%Sinker 17%Curveball 14%Knuckle Curve 10%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Glasnow, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .323
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 RG Riley Greene LHB .352
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JB Javier Báez SH .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.