PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Glasnow vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Glasnow's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Glasnow's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .252Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 21%Sinker 18%Curveball 15%Knuckle Curve 9%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Glasnow, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-12 game page →