PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Glasnow vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Glasnow's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Glasnow's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .291vs RHH xwOBA .252Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 21%Sinker 18%Curveball 13%Knuckle Curve 10%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Glasnow, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .371
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.