PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Glasnow vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Glasnow's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Glasnow's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .254Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Slider 21%Sinker 18%Curveball 17%Knuckle Curve 8%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Glasnow, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 633 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .435 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-25 game page →