PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Glasnow vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Glasnow's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Glasnow's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .252Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 21%Sinker 18%Curveball 14%Knuckle Curve 10%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Glasnow, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.