PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Alexander vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Alexander's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Alexander's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sweeper 20%Changeup 18%Sinker 18%Unknown 1%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Alexander, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EQ Edgar Quero SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-22 game page →