PITCHER MATCHUP
Tyler Alexander vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Alexander's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Tyler Alexander's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 21%Sweeper 20%Changeup 19%Sinker 18%Unknown 1%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Alexander, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.