PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Alexander vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Alexander's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Alexander's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 21%Sweeper 20%Changeup 19%Sinker 18%Unknown 1%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Alexander, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.