PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Alexander vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Alexander's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Alexander's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 21%Sweeper 20%Changeup 19%Sinker 18%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Alexander, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 641 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TS Trevor Story RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-17 game page →