PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Alexander vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Alexander's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Alexander's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 21%Sweeper 20%Changeup 19%Sinker 18%Unknown 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Alexander, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .218 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.