PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .240Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 19%Cutter 18%Splitter 10%Sinker 9%Curveball 6%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.