PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .254Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Slider 22%Cutter 14%Sinker 9%Splitter 8%Curveball 6%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BR Ben Rice LHB .370
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .434 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AR Amed Rosario RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AV Anthony Volpe RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Anthony Volpe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JD Jasson Domínguez SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jasson Domínguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-01 game page →