PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 19%Cutter 19%Sinker 10%Splitter 8%Curveball 7%Changeup 3%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .442 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.