PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Slider 25%Cutter 12%Sinker 9%Splitter 8%Curveball 5%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .438 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 EQ Edgar Quero SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →