PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .240Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 20%Cutter 18%Sinker 10%Splitter 9%Curveball 6%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 EQ Edgar Quero SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.