PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 19%Cutter 19%Sinker 10%Splitter 7%Curveball 7%Changeup 3%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.