PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 19%Cutter 19%Sinker 10%Splitter 7%Curveball 7%Changeup 3%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MC Matt Chapman RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CK Christian Koss RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.