PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .242Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 19%Cutter 18%Splitter 10%Sinker 9%Curveball 6%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 584 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Daniel Susac RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 CK Christian Koss RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GM Grant McCray LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Grant McCray
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-09 game page →