PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Cutter 19%Slider 19%Sinker 10%Splitter 8%Curveball 7%Changeup 3%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CK Christian Koss RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jonah Cox RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Cox
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OB Osleivis Basabe RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Osleivis Basabe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 VB Victor Bericoto RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Bericoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.