PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .244Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 19%Cutter 18%Splitter 10%Sinker 9%Curveball 6%Changeup 1%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW Jacob Wilson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 HB Henry Bolte RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JH Jonah Heim SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 MM Max Muncy RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Alika Williams RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alika Williams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.