PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 19%Cutter 19%Sinker 10%Splitter 7%Curveball 7%Changeup 3%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 SL Shea Langeliers RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shea Langeliers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 HB Henry Bolte RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JH Jonah Heim SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 MM Max Muncy RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 DW Donovan Walton LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.