PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .245Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 21%Cutter 15%Sinker 9%Splitter 9%Curveball 6%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 SL Shea Langeliers RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shea Langeliers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NK Nick Kurtz LHB .374
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Kurtz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HB Henry Bolte RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 MM Max Muncy RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JH Jonah Heim SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →