PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 19%Cutter 19%Sinker 10%Splitter 7%Curveball 7%Changeup 3%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MT Mike Trout RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JL Josh Lowe LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WM Wade Meckler LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.