PITCHER MATCHUP

Troy Melton vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Troy Melton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Troy Melton's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .242Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 21%Cutter 16%Sinker 10%Splitter 9%Curveball 6%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Troy Melton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ZN Zach Neto RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MT Mike Trout RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Jorge Soler RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Soler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JL Josh Lowe LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-17 game page →