PITCHER MATCHUP
Trey Yesavage vs San Diego Padres
How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trey Yesavage's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Trey Yesavage's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Splitter 28%Slider 25%
How the San Diego Padres's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trey Yesavage, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MM Manny Machado RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (28% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (28% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TF Ty France RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .276
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.