PITCHER MATCHUP
Trey Yesavage vs Houston Astros
How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trey Yesavage's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Trey Yesavage's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Splitter 29%Slider 25%
How the Houston Astros's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trey Yesavage, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 CW Christian Walker RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .376
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 CS Cam Smith RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .283
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 BM Brice Matthews RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.