PITCHER MATCHUP
Trey Gibson vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trey Gibson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Trey Gibson's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .394vs RHH xwOBA .347Seasons 2026
Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Slider 21%Cutter 20%Curveball 14%Sweeper 2%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trey Gibson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .442 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BD Brenton Doyle RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brenton Doyle
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.