PITCHER MATCHUP

Trey Gibson vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trey Gibson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trey Gibson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .406vs RHH xwOBA .372Seasons 2026
Sinker 31%Cutter 22%Slider 17%Curveball 15%Four-Seam Fastball 14%Sweeper 2%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trey Gibson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RD Rodolfo Durán RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rodolfo Durán
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.