PITCHER MATCHUP

Trey Gibson vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trey Gibson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trey Gibson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .394vs RHH xwOBA .347Seasons 2026
Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Slider 21%Cutter 20%Curveball 14%Sweeper 2%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trey Gibson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Josh Smith LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.