PITCHER MATCHUP
Trey Gibson vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trey Gibson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Trey Gibson's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .394vs RHH xwOBA .347Seasons 2026
Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Slider 21%Cutter 20%Curveball 14%Sweeper 2%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trey Gibson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MS Myles Straw RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.