PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor McDonald vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor McDonald's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor McDonald's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 55%Slider 29%Changeup 14%Cutter 1%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor McDonald, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JM Joe Mack LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.