PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor McDonald vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor McDonald's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor McDonald's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 55%Slider 29%Changeup 14%Cutter 1%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor McDonald, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.