PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor McDonald vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor McDonald's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor McDonald's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 55%Slider 29%Changeup 14%Cutter 1%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor McDonald, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .225 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.