PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor McDonald vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor McDonald's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor McDonald's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 55%Slider 29%Changeup 14%Cutter 1%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor McDonald, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.