PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor McDonald vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor McDonald's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor McDonald's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 55%Slider 29%Changeup 14%Cutter 1%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor McDonald, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.