PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor McDonald vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor McDonald's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor McDonald's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 55%Slider 29%Changeup 14%Cutter 1%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor McDonald, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TT Tyrone Taylor RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyrone Taylor
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.