PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor McDonald vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor McDonald's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor McDonald's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 55%Slider 29%Changeup 14%Cutter 1%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor McDonald, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.