PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor McDonald vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor McDonald's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor McDonald's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .248Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 55%Slider 31%Changeup 13%Cutter 2%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor McDonald, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →