PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor McDonald vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor McDonald's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor McDonald's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 55%Slider 29%Changeup 14%Cutter 1%Four-Seam Fastball 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor McDonald, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 GS George Springer RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Sinker (55% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.